Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns (2024)

Data Source: from January 1871 to February 2024 (~153 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 29 February 2024
Live Update: Mar 28 2024

PORTFOLIO • LIVE PERFORMANCE (USD currency)

0.01%

1 Day

Mar 28 2024

2.08%

Current Month

March 2024

The Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio is a High Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 2 ETFs.

It's exposed for 60% on the Stock Market.

In the last 30 Years, the Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio obtained a 8.22% compound annual return, with a 9.62% standard deviation.

Table of contents

Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns (1)

The first official book of Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns (2)

How to build wealth
with Lazy Portfolios and Passive Investing Strategies

Choose a goal
Employ the best metrics to evaluate it
Join the passive investing strategy

Discover new asset allocations in USD and EUR,
in addition to the lazy portfolios on the website.

Asset Allocation and ETFs

The Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio has the following asset allocation:

The Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:

Weight (%)TickerCurrencyETF NameInvestment Themes
60.00

VTI

USDVanguard Total Stock MarketEquity, U.S., Large Cap
40.00

BND

USDVanguard Total Bond MarketBond, U.S., All-Term

Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.

Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Feb 29, 2024

The Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:

  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • a rebalancing of the components at every January 1st. How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
  • the reinvestment of dividends.
  • the actual US Inflation rates.

March 2024 return is calculated on the hypothesis of a newly built portfolio, with the starting asset allocation.

STOCKS/BONDS 60/40 PORTFOLIO

Consolidated returns as of 29 February 2024

Live Update: Mar 28 2024

Swipe left to see all data

Chg (%)Return (%)Return (%) as of Feb 29, 2024
1 DayTime ET(*)Mar 20241M6M1Y5Y10Y30YMAX
(~153Y)
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio-0.012.082.659.2218.408.677.858.227.68
US Inflation Adjusted return2.207.5114.774.304.895.545.44
Components

VTI

USDVanguard Total Stock Market0.07Mar 28 20242.905.3013.6928.6113.8211.9610.229.14

BND

USDVanguard Total Bond Market-0.12Mar 28 20240.85-1.362.383.470.541.394.194.48

Returns over 1 year are annualized | Available data source: since Jan 1871

(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)

US Inflation is updated to Feb 2024. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 3.17% , 5Y: 4.19% , 10Y: 2.82% , 30Y: 2.54%

Live update: World Markets and Indexes

In 2023, the Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio granted a 2.36% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.

Capital Growth as of Feb 29, 2024

An investment of 1$, since March 1994, now would be worth 10.68$, with a total return of 968.39% (8.22% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 5.04$, with a net total return of 403.88% (5.54% annualized).

An investment of 1$, since January 1871, now would be worth 83439.17$, with a total return of 8343817.43% (7.68% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 3347.32$, with a net total return of 334631.78% (5.44% annualized).

Portfolio Metrics as of Feb 29, 2024

Metrics of Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio, updated as of 29 February 2024.

Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:

  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • a rebalancing of the components at every January 1st. How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
  • the reinvestment of dividends.
  • the actual US Inflation rates.

STOCKS/BONDS 60/40 PORTFOLIO

Advanced Metrics

Data Source: 1 January 1871 - 29 February 2024 (~153 years)

Swipe left to see all data

Metrics as of Feb 29, 2024
1M3M6M1Y3Y5Y10Y20Y30YMAX
(~153Y)
Investment Return (%)2.658.099.2218.404.778.677.857.458.227.68
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) details 2.207.047.5114.77-0.854.304.894.745.545.44
US Inflation (%)0.440.981.593.175.684.192.822.592.542.12
Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.

DRAWDOWN

Inflation Adjusted:

Inflation Adjusted:

1Y3Y5Y10Y20Y30YMAX
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%)-7.47-20.69-20.69-20.69-30.55-30.55-62.03
Start to Recovery (# months) details 5262626363683
Start (yyyy mm)2023 082022 012022 012022 012007 112007 111929 09
Start to Bottom (# months)3999161633
Bottom (yyyy mm)2023 102022 092022 092022 092009 022009 021932 05
Bottom to End (# months)2171717202050
End (yyyy mm)2023 122024 022024 022024 022010 102010 101936 07
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest
-21.56
same as
deepest
Start to Recovery (# months) details 41
Start (yyyy mm)2023 082022 012022 012022 012007 112000 091929 09
Start to Bottom (# months)3999162533
Bottom (yyyy mm)2023 102022 092022 092022 092009 022002 091932 05
Bottom to End (# months)2171717201650
End (yyyy mm)2023 122024 022024 022024 022010 102004 011936 07
Longest negative period (# months) details 732343461110154
Period Start (yyyy mm)2023 042021 032021 012021 012004 032000 011929 09
Period End (yyyy mm)2023 102023 102023 102023 102009 032009 021942 06
Annualized Return (%)-1.48-0.42-0.14-0.14-0.45-0.03-0.11
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%)-8.35-25.27-25.27-25.27-31.69-31.69-52.05
Start to Recovery (# months) details 530*30*30*383871
Start (yyyy mm)2023 082021 092021 092021 092007 112007 111929 09
Start to Bottom (# months)3131313161633
Bottom (yyyy mm)2023 102022 092022 092022 092009 022009 021932 05
Bottom to End (# months)2171717222238
End (yyyy mm)2023 12---2010 122010 121935 07
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest
-25.08-38.92
Start to Recovery (# months) details 66122
Start (yyyy mm)2023 082021 092021 092021 092007 112000 091973 01
Start to Bottom (# months)3131313162521
Bottom (yyyy mm)2023 102022 092022 092022 092009 022002 091974 09
Bottom to End (# months)21717172241101
End (yyyy mm)2023 12---2010 122006 021983 02
Longest negative period (# months) details 836*474965132263
Period Start (yyyy mm)2023 032021 032019 122018 092004 031998 031899 02
Period End (yyyy mm)2023 102024 022023 102022 092009 072009 021920 12
Annualized Return (%)-0.28-0.85-0.43-0.04-0.16-0.32-0.12
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress

RISK INDICATORS

1Y3Y5Y10Y20Y30YMAX
Standard Deviation (%)10.6512.7412.5910.159.659.6210.21
Sharpe Ratio1.240.190.540.660.630.620.36
Sortino Ratio1.770.260.720.880.830.810.50
Ulcer Index2.599.797.865.776.726.919.24
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation1.730.370.690.770.770.850.75
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown2.460.230.420.380.240.270.12
% Positive Months details 66%61%65%68%67%66%62%
Positive Months82239821622391150
Negative Months414213878121688

LONG TERM RETURNS

Inflation Adjusted:

Inflation Adjusted:

1Y3Y5Y10Y20Y30YMAX
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized7.8511.5611.5615.69
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized6.281.34-0.01
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized4.899.639.6314.69
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized3.87-1.22-4.21

ROLLING PERIODS

Inflation Adjusted:

Inflation Adjusted:

1Y3Y5Y10Y20Y30YMAX
Over the latest 30Y
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized35.1922.0019.1711.568.958.22
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized-25.46-6.40-1.441.345.43
% Positive Periods82%90%99%100%100%100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized85.1428.4417.669.355.737.35
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized----2.735.89
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized32.3419.2216.409.636.485.54
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized-25.47-8.48-3.98-1.223.28
% Positive Periods78%80%94%97%100%100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized85.1428.4417.669.355.737.35
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized----2.735.89
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Over all the available data source (Jan 1871 - Feb 2024)
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized83.4428.7923.3815.6914.6912.20
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized-44.89-25.23-8.90-0.013.153.74
% Positive Periods77%90%96%99%100%100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized77.1024.3614.107.914.794.03
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized-----1.95
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized96.4425.2922.1514.6910.428.08
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized-38.81-19.29-10.35-4.21-0.571.73
% Positive Periods70%81%87%91%99%100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized77.1024.3614.107.914.794.03
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized-----1.95
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com

Terms and Definitions

  • Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio.
  • Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration.
  • Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed.
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean.
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
  • Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio.
  • Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame.
  • Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money in any case (money amount withdrawal).
    For instance: Your initial invested capital is 100.000$; withdrawal rate (annualized) is 4%. This means that, in the first month, you will withdraw 100.000 * 4% * 1/12 = 333.33$. The second month, you’ll withdraw 333.33$ plus the inflation monthly rate. You’ll continue adjusting your withdraw monthly for inflation.
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, preserving the original invested capital, adjusted for inflation too.

Talking about withdrawal rates, how would you manage your early retirement with the Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio? Read more here

Portfolio Components Correlation

Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other.

Correlation coefficient is a numerical value between -1 and +1. If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.
Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.

COMPONENTS MONTHLY CORRELATIONS

Monthly correlations as of 29 February 2024

Swipe left to see all data

If you want to learn more about historical correlations, you can find out here how the main asset class are correlated to each other.

Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

STOCKS/BONDS 60/40 PORTFOLIO

Drawdown periods

Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted

Data Source: 1 March 1994 - 29 February 2024 (30 Years)

Data Source: 1 January 1871 - 29 February 2024 (~153 years)

Inflation Adjusted:

'); } }, marker: { enabled: false, symbol: 'circle', radius: 2, states: { hover: { enabled: true } } } } }, series: [{ name: '', data: data,color: '#ffc0c0',lineColor: 'red',lineWidth: 1 }],legend: { enabled: false } };

Swipe left to see all data

'); } }, marker: { enabled: false, symbol: 'circle', radius: 2, states: { hover: { enabled: true } } } } }, series: [{ name: '', data: data,color: '#ffc0c0',lineColor: 'red',lineWidth: 1 }],legend: { enabled: false } };

Swipe left to see all data

Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns (2024)

FAQs

Is 60% stocks and 40% bonds a good mix? ›

The 60/40 portfolio is the standard-bearer for investors with a moderate risk tolerance. It gives you about half the volatility of the stock market but tends to provide good returns over the long term. For the past 20 years, it's been a great portfolio for investors to stick with.

What is the expected return of a portfolio that is 60% stocks and 40% bonds? ›

It's exposed for 60% on the Stock Market. In the last 30 Years, the Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio obtained a 8.42% compound annual return, with a 9.60% standard deviation.

How much money do I need to invest to make $3,000 a month? ›

Imagine you wish to amass $3000 monthly from your investments, amounting to $36,000 annually. If you park your funds in a savings account offering a 2% annual interest rate, you'd need to inject roughly $1.8 million into the account.

Does the 60 40 portfolio still work? ›

While many analysts and experts predicted the demise of the 60/40 rule at the close of 2022 — a particularly brutal year for both stocks and bonds — this long-term investment strategy is looking favorable once again in 2024 and beyond.

What is the average return on a 60/40 portfolio? ›

The typical 60% stock/40% bond portfolio declined about 16% in 2022—a painful period for balanced investors that has raised doubts about the viability of this strategy. But it helps to put this in perspective: The annualized return for the 10 years through 2022 was 6.1% for a globally diversified 60/40 portfolio.

What is the best portfolio mix for a 60 year old? ›

According to this principle, individuals should hold a percentage of stocks equal to 100 minus their age. So, for a typical 60-year-old, 40% of the portfolio should be equities. The rest would comprise high-grade bonds, government debt, and other relatively safe assets.

What is the trusted 60 40 investment strategy? ›

Over their 50 years of marriage, Dave and Kathy Lindenstruth adopted a time-honored Wall Street strategy to safeguard and grow their retirement nest egg: a mix of 60% U.S. stocks and 40% bonds known as the 60-40 portfolio.

Is there an ETF for 60/40 portfolio? ›

Use exchange-traded funds, or ETFs

As an example, Baker suggests allocating 60% of your money to SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust (SPY:NYSE Arca) and 40% to iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG:NYSE Arca) — two ETFs that basically mimic the S&P 500 Index and the Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index.

What is the 60 40 rule? ›

The 60/40 budget keeps things simple by focusing on the big picture. The rule splits income into two broad buckets: committed spending and savings/special occasions. You can customize the budget if a 60% commitment isn't realistic for you.

Can I live off interest on a million dollars? ›

Once you have $1 million in assets, you can look seriously at living entirely off the returns of a portfolio. After all, the S&P 500 alone averages 10% returns per year. Setting aside taxes and down-year investment portfolio management, a $1 million index fund could provide $100,000 annually.

How to invest 100k to make $1 million in 10 years? ›

There are two approaches you could take. The first is increasing the amount you invest monthly. Bumping up your monthly contributions to $200 would put you over the $1 million mark. The other option would be to try to exceed a 7% annual return with your investments.

How much money a month to make $100,000? ›

$100,000 a year is how much a month? If you make $100,000 a year, your monthly salary would be $8,333.87.

Why does 60/40 no longer work? ›

While the 60/40 portfolio is a good investing approach to understand, it doesn't account for other asset classes, such as cash and alternative investments. And it also doesn't account for your unique financial situation.

How often should you rebalance a 60 40 portfolio? ›

A portfolio is rebalanced at regular intervals, such as annually or quarterly, irrespective of asset price movements. Threshold or price-based rebalancing. A limit is set on how far the portfolio can deviate from your desired target mix, such as a 60/40 stocks-to-bonds mix.

Why is the 60/40 portfolio so popular? ›

“It's a good proxy because many institutions have historically used this allocation to meet their objectives. Further, if you look at the most popular products for individual investors, such as target-date funds, the average asset allocation is right around 60/40. So it's a good proxy for individual investors as well.

What should my mix of stocks and bonds be? ›

The rule of thumb advisors have traditionally urged investors to use, in terms of the percentage of stocks an investor should have in their portfolio; this equation suggests, for example, that a 30-year-old would hold 70% in stocks and 30% in bonds, while a 60-year-old would have 40% in stocks and 60% in bonds.

What is the best ratio between stocks and bonds? ›

One says that the percentage of stocks in your portfolio should equal 100 minus your age. So, if you're 30, such a portfolio would contain 70% stocks and 30% bonds (or other safe investments). If you're 60, it might be 40% stocks and 60% bonds.

What is the recommended stock bond mix? ›

The conservative allocation is composed of 15% large-cap stocks, 5% international stocks, 50% bonds and 30% cash investments.

What is the recommended bond to stock ratio? ›

You can consider investing heavily in stocks if you're younger than 50 and saving for retirement. You have plenty of years until you retire and can ride out any current market turbulence. As you reach your 50s, consider allocating 60% of your portfolio to stocks and 40% to bonds.

References

Top Articles
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Rueben Jacobs

Last Updated:

Views: 5339

Rating: 4.7 / 5 (57 voted)

Reviews: 88% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Rueben Jacobs

Birthday: 1999-03-14

Address: 951 Caterina Walk, Schambergerside, CA 67667-0896

Phone: +6881806848632

Job: Internal Education Planner

Hobby: Candle making, Cabaret, Poi, Gambling, Rock climbing, Wood carving, Computer programming

Introduction: My name is Rueben Jacobs, I am a cooperative, beautiful, kind, comfortable, glamorous, open, magnificent person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.